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Anales Instituto Patagonia (Chile) vol.40 no.1 Punta Arenas 2012
Anales Instituto Patagonia (Chile), 2012. 40(1):39-44
Cambio climático en la Región de Magallanes y Antártica: Evidencia y desafíos para el futuro
Recent glacier changes in southern Chile and in the Antartic Peninsula
Cambios recientes en los glaciares del sur de Chile y en la Península Antártica
Andrés Rivera1,2, Francisca Bown1, Anja Wendt1 & Claudio Bravo1
1 Centro de Estudios Científicos (CECS), Valdivia, Chile.
2 Departamento de Geografía, Universidad de Chile, Portugal 84, Santiago, Chile.
Se presenta una síntesis de la investigación glaciológica reciente realizada por el Centro de Estudios Científicos, CECS, en Chile y la Península Antártica mediante el uso de una variedad de metodologías modernas, con el fin de detectar las tendencias de cambio experimentadas por los glaciares en las últimas décadas.
Palabras clave: Actividad volcánica, cambios frontales, de velocidad y de espesor de glaciares, colapso de plataformas de hielo fotantes.
A synthesis is presented of the recent glaciological research done by Centro de Estudios Científicos, CECS, in Chile and the Antarctic Peninsula by using a variety of modern methodologies with the aim of detecting glacier change trends throughout recent decades.
Key words: Volcanic activity, glacier frontal, thickness and velocity changes, ice shelves collapse.
In historical times, glaciers in Southern Chile have experienced a significant area reduction mainly in response to ongoing atmospheric warming. Here we present some of the research that has been done by Centro de Estudios Científicos, CECS, Valdivia, during recent years. This research has been conducted by means of direct glacier measurements, airborne data collection and remotely sensed satellite imagery analysis. Visible to near infrared images were employed to study active ice-capped volcanoes with the aim of monitoring possible volcanic activity effects on recent glacier behaviors. Several feld campaigns have been also conducted to the Northern and Southern Patagonian Icefelds (NPI and SPI respectively), where automatic weather stations, continuous GPS stations and time-lapse cameras have been used to survey glaciers. In 2002 and 2008, these icefelds were surveyed with a Chilean Navy P3 airplane equipped with a laser and radar from NASA, and other sensors from CECS. In the Antarctic Peninsula (AP), during recent decades several ice shelves have collapsed, affecting upstream glaciers. In order to study these changes, feld campaigns have been conducted to Adelaide Island (2002) and Fleming glacier (2007, 2008 and 2009) where ice thicknesses, ice velocities and local meteorological conditions have been measured. Airborne surveys have been conducted to the whole Antarctica Peninsula onboard a Chilean Navy P3 airplane equipped with CECS and NASA instruments in 2002, 2004 and 2008. In addition, the CECS airborne mapping system (CAMS) mounted onboard a Chilean Air Force (FACH) Twin Otter, was used in 2008 to survey the surface topography of Fleming.
|•||Glaciers of Southern Chile have been shrinking in recent decades, however some glaciers have experienced "anomalous" behaviors, especially if they are calving into fijords or lakes, or if they are located on top of active volcanoes. In general, glaciers located on active volcanoes have shown negative changes, as a primary response to regional climate warming at multidecadal timescales, however superimposed on this trend, volcanic activity is thought to impact glaciers in different directions. One of the study sites is Volcán Villarrica (39°25’S, 71°56’W; 2847 m a.s.l.), where the glacier areal and frontal changes are thought to be enhanced by very frequent volcanic events (four since 1977). Volcán Hudson (45°54’S, 72°58’W; 1905 m a.s.l.) experienced an explosive eruption in 1991 that destroyed most of the glacier inflling the caldera, provoking huge lahar fows descending through Glaciar Huemules and Río Ibáñez. Ice elevation changes of Glaciar Huemules yielded a mean thinning rate of -2.4 m a-1 in the period 1974-2009 which is synchronous to its strong snout retreat (Fig. 1). Although it cannot be strictly associated to the eruption effect of 1991, the enhanced ice thinning and frontal change seem possibly related to this eruptive cycle, which remains one of the largest in Chile during historical times. In contrast, the negative long-term (1961 to 2007) frontal glacier trend observed at Volcán Michinmahuida (42°50’S, 72°27’W, 2450 m a.s.l.) was reverted between 2008 and 2009, most probably in response to the explosive eruption of nearby Volcán Chaitén which began in May 2008 (Rivera et al. 2012a).|
|Fig. 1. Main glacier basin of Glaciar Huemules and frontal variations at Volcán Hudson between 1979 and 2011. Background satellite image is a 3-2-1 composite ASTER scene collected in March 2, 2002.|
|•||The majority of the main glaciers in western Patagonia and southern Chile are calving into fijords or lakes, surrounded by rough mountainous terrains receiving high annual precipitation, ranging from about 3,500 mm (Isla San Pedro, 47.72°S at sea level) to more than 10,000 mm at the upper plateau of the SPI. Precipitation series measured at low altitude stations of western Patagonia have shown a secular decreasing trend, however, since the 1980s at least one of the southernmost stations (Evangelistas, 52.4°S, at sea level) has registered a sharp increase in precipitation (Aravena & Luckman 2009). Using NCEP-NCAR 40 years reanalysis data obtained at grid points equally spaced between 42.5°S and 55°S and between 70°W and 77.5°W, Rasmussen et al. (2007) detected a warming trend at 850 hPa of ~0.5°C over 40 years between 1960 and 1999 at both, winter and summer months. As a result to these climatic changes, glaciers have experienced a generalized retreat and thinning, especially in the Northern Patagonia Icefeld (Rivera et al., 2007) and in the north-western side of the Southern Patagonia Icefeld (Glaciares Jorge Montt, Bernardo and Témpanos) and in the South western side (Amalia). An updated inventory in the whole SPI has revealed significant area losses according to a general ice wasting trend reported earlier (Aniya et al. 1997; Rignot et al. 2003), showing a total area reduction of 321.4 km2 in the period 1986-2000. These retreats have triggered among other processes, ice-dammed lake outburst foods affecting downstream valleys and fijords. In spite of these retreats, the glacier with the longest historical record in Chile (Pío XI, 49°S), is still at a maximum holocenic position, due to an advance detected until September of 2009. In the Torres del Paine National Park, all glaciers are experiencing significant retreats, with one of the biggest single calving events registered at Glaciar Grey (51°S), and the opening of a new lake branch of Lago Dickson (50°47’S), now an international lake, as a consequence of the retreat of the homonymous glacier (Rivera & Casassa 2004). Glaciar Jorge Montt (48°20’S), one of the largest tidewater glaciers of the SPI, experienced the greatest recorded retreat in South America, accounting for a frontal change of more than 19 km since 1898 in an apparently dynamic response to the near fotation conditions of the glacier tongue (Rivera et al. 2012b). Since 2000, the glacier has been retreating at rates between 100 and 400 m a-1 (Rivera et al. 2012c).|
The first complete glacier inventory of the islands south of the Estrecho de Magallanes including Tierra del Fuego, Isla Santa Inés, Monte Sarmiento and Isla Hoste, was obtained by means of the analysis of several ASTER and Landsat ETM+ satellite images acquired between 1986 and 2006, yielding a total area of 3289 km2 of ice, distributed among 1681 glaciers. Previous estimations of the total glaciated areas for these islands amounted to only 2500 km2, the difference being attributed to more precise glacier delimitation, and not to glacier advances (Bown et al. accepted). The southern-most glaciers in western Patagonia have also been retreating, being remarkable the glaciers at Monte Sarmiento (54°27’S) firstly described by Fitz Roy (1839), which compared to more recent satellite data is yielding an overall retreat of several km. Many other glacier tongues analyzed from recent remotely sensed imagery have been compared to historical data, with a number of glaciers experiencing retreat in recent decades, especially on the northern side of Cordillera Darwin (54°35’S), located on Isla de Tierra del Fuego. Glaciar Marinelli showed the maximum amount of ice lost, with a frontal retreat of 13.6 km between 1913 and 2006 (Porter & Santana 2003). However, Homlund & Fuenzalida (1995) described the contrasting behavior between mainly retreating glaciers on the northern fanks and glaciers seen advancing in the south. In fact many glacier fronts have been stable, with only minor changes since the first historical accounts, and two glaciers, located at the southern edge of Cordillera Darwin, experienced advances in the last decade; namely Glaciar Garibaldi (1.1 km between 2001 and 2007), and a glacier calving into Bahía Pía (0.6 km between 1991 and 2004) (Masiokas et al. 2009). These advancing glaciers seem to be responding to calving oscillations, and not necessarily to a climatic trend in the region characterized by atmospheric warming and a reduction in precipitation.
|•||A Chilean International Polar Year (IPY) project aimed to investigate the links between cli-mate variability and glacier dynamics in the AP was collecting data between 2007 and 2009 at Fleming Glacier (69°30’S), the largest glacier fowing into Wordie Bay. Regional climate warming has caused Wordie ice shelf, among several other ice shelves in the AP to retreat and ultimately collapse during recent decades. Among the consequences of this atmospheric warming is the induced change in precipitation type, with more frequent liquid precipitation occurring in summer which is concurrent to higher air temperatures, and less frequent snow precipitation between 1970 and 2008 (Carrasco & Quintana 2010). Glaciers fowing into these retreating ice shelves have primarily responded with ice-flow acceleration and thinning. Wordie Ice Shelf on the west coast of the A P, has experienced a major area reduction from 1926 km2 in 1966 (Wendt et al. 2010) to less than 55 km2 in year 2012 (Fig. 2).|
|Fig. 2. Wordie Ice shelf between 1966 and 2012 (updated from Wendt et al., 2010), and total areas assuming no change of the grounding line dated in 1996 by Rignot et al. (2005).|
Various data were collected during field campaigns to Fleming Glacier in austral summers 2007/08 and 2008/09. In situ measurements of ice-flow velocity first made in 1974 were repeated, confrming satellite-based assessments that veloci-ty on the glacier has increased by 40-50% since 1974. Airborne laser data collected in December 2008 were compared to similar data collected in 2004 by the CECS/NASA team in collaboration with the Chilean Navy. This comparison yielded a thinning of the glacier, with increasing rates of thinning downstream, with a mean of -4.1 ± 0.25 m a-1 at the grounding line of the glacier (Wendt et al., 2010). These comparisons gave little indication that the glacier is achieving a new equilibrium. In contrast, Union Glacier, located at 80°S in the interior of Antarctica, reveals more stable conditions as it fows into the Constellation Inlet of the Ronne
Ice Shelf, which is not supposed to be vulnerable to the disintegration process currently affecting ice shelves in AP (Vaughan & Spouge 2002). This has been revealed from the intense subglacial and surface mapping carried out since 2008 by means of a radar survey and GPS stake measurements (Rivera et al., 2010), showing the dynamical characteristics of this glacier, which are close to equilibrium.
Centro de Estudios Científicos is sponsored by the Excellence Centres of CONICYT Basal Financing Programme and the Regional Government of Los Ríos. Several other public and private sources have provided technical and financial support to research and feld work, including the Bicentennial Science and Technology Programme of CONICYT, INACH, FACH, Chilean Navy, FONDECYT project 1090387 and the Antarctic Logistics and Expeditions (ALE) company.
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Received: Oct. 17, 2011 Accepted: May. 15, 2012