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Cuadernos de economía

versão On-line ISSN 0717-6821

Resumo

DUBURCQ, Caroline. The Impact of Exchange Rate Regime on Interest Rates in Latin America. Cuad. econ. [online]. 2010, vol.47, n.135, pp.91-124. ISSN 0717-6821.  http://dx.doi.org/10.4067/S0717-68212010000100004.

We develop a theoretical framework to study the impact of the exchange rate regime in the interest rate determination. Using VECM, we assess the role of both domestic conditions and US factors in the determination of eight Latin-American countries’ interest rates between February 1998 and April 2009. Three countries have hard-peg while the remaining five follow alternative regimes. The long and short-run determinants of domestic rates as well as an impulse response analysis prove that economies with rigidly-fixed exchange rates do not bear a loss of monetary autonomy substantially higher than that of floating-rate economies, with the exception of Brazil.

Palavras-chave : Interest Rate Determination; Exchange Rate Regime; Vector Error Correction Models.

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